Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ribera del Fresno: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Ribera del Fresno (Badajoz, 3,234 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.0% of the vote (2023: 37.1%) Majority 3%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.1% of the vote (2023: 27.0%) Majority 0%
G.I.R±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 19.1%) Majority 0%
I.U.−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ribera del Fresno

Ribera del Fresno is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 3,234 inhabitants, the 42nd largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 37.1% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 3. 78.6% of the 2,569 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 37.1% → 36.0% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.0% → 28.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. G.I.RLocal lists 19.1% → 21.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 16.0% → 13.6% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,018 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ribera del Fresno in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →