Mengabril: PSOE would keep its majority
Mengabril (Badajoz, 485 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 67%PSOE majority
- 347valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 48.9% of the vote (2023: 51.3%)
Majority 67%
LEVANTA±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 42.9% of the vote (2023: 39.8%)
Majority 30%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 51.3% → 48.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- LEVANTALocal lists 39.8% → 42.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 8.4% → 7.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 347 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.