Garbayuela: PSOE would keep its majority
Garbayuela (Badajoz, 502 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 337valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Garbayuela
Garbayuela is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 502 inhabitants, the 142nd largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 68.8% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 75.9% of the 444 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 68.8% → 68.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 26.4% → 27.2% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 337 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.