Esparragosa de la Serena: P.I.D.E.S. would win a majority
Esparragosa de la Serena (Badajoz, 975 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 77%P.I.D.E.S. majority
- 708valid votes in 2023 (88% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Esparragosa de la Serena
Esparragosa de la Serena is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 975 inhabitants, the 104th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 P.I.D.E.S. came first with 48.2% of the vote and 3 seats; PSOE was second with 2. 88.1% of the 804 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps P.I.D.E.S. on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 77% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- P.I.D.E.S.Local lists 48.2% → 51.3% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 24.3% → 24.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 26.6% → 23.8% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 708 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.