Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Esparragosa de la Serena: P.I.D.E.S. would win a majority

Esparragosa de la Serena (Badajoz, 975 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.I.D.E.S.+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 51.3% of the vote (2023: 48.2%) Majority 77%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 24.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.8% of the vote (2023: 26.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.I.D.E.S.Local lists 48.2% → 51.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.3% → 24.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 26.6% → 23.8% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 708 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Esparragosa de la Serena in size, in Badajoz

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