Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alburquerque: IPAL would keep its majority

Alburquerque (Badajoz, 5,144 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IPAL+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 54.5% of the vote (2023: 51.0%) Majority 93%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 33.8% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority under 1%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Alburquerque

Alburquerque is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 5,144 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 IPAL came first with 51% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 68.4% of the 4,275 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps IPAL on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 93% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IPALLocal lists 51.0% → 54.5% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 36.6% → 33.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.5% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,925 valid votes including 56 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alburquerque in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →