España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Navalperal de Pinares: APN would win a majority

Navalperal de Pinares (Ávila, 761 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

APN+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 49.3% of the vote (2023: 46.8%) Majority 48%
PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 49.2% of the vote (2023: 49.2%) Majority 52%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Navalperal de Pinares

Navalperal de Pinares is a municipality in the province of Ávila with 761 inhabitants, the 24th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 49.2% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; APN was second with 3. 86.5% of the 519 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps APN on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 48% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. APNLocal lists 46.8% → 49.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 49.2% → 49.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 2.7% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 449 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navalperal de Pinares in size, in Ávila

Every municipality in Ávila → · All of Spain →