Mijares: PP would win a majority
Mijares (Ávila, 726 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 52%PP majority
- 516valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 51.0% of the vote (2023: 49.2%)
Majority 52%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 48.4% of the vote (2023: 50.2%)
Majority 48%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.2% → 51.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 50.2% → 48.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 516 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.