Mombeltrán: XAV would keep its majority
Mombeltrán (Ávila, 933 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%XAV majority
- 581valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Mombeltrán
Mombeltrán is a municipality in the province of Ávila with 933 inhabitants, the 20th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 XAV came first with 66.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 1. 71.3% of the 815 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps XAV on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- XAVLocal lists 66.8% → 70.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 21.9% → 21.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 10.2% → 7.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 581 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.