El Arenal: PP would keep its majority
El Arenal (Ávila, 938 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 71%PP majority
- 718valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 53.9% of the vote (2023: 51.9%)
Majority 71%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 45.2% of the vote (2023: 47.1%)
Majority 29%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 51.9% → 53.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 47.1% → 45.2% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 718 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.