Hoyocasero: PP would keep its majority
Hoyocasero (Ávila, 276 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 295valid votes in 2023 (92% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 61.1% of the vote (2023: 62.0%)
Majority over 99%
XAV±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 27.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 62.0% → 61.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 27.8% → 28.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 9.8% → 10.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 0.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 295 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.