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Parres: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Parres (Asturias, 5,233 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 40.3%) Majority 12%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%
CS+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.0% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%
FORO ASTURIAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 40.3% → 39.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 22.3% → 23.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 16.8% → 14.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 12.5% → 14.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 6.3% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,959 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Parres in size, in Asturias

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