Noreña: IPÑ would win a majority
Noreña (Asturias, 5,088 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 50%IPÑ majority
- 2,830valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Noreña
Noreña is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 5,088 inhabitants, the 29th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IPÑ came first with 41% of the vote and 6 seats; IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS was second with 3. 67.2% of the 4,211 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps IPÑ on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 50% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IPÑLocal lists 41.0% → 43.3% 6 → 7 councillors
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 21.9% → 18.2% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 15.2% → 14.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 12.9% → 10.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 3.5% → 8.2% 0 → 1 councillors
- C.A.NOREÑALocal lists 3.9% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,830 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.