Peñacerrada-Urizaharra: AMI/UEI would keep its majority
Peñacerrada-Urizaharra (Araba/Álava, 310 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%AMI/UEI majority
- 189valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Peñacerrada-Urizaharra
Peñacerrada-Urizaharra is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 310 inhabitants, the 39th largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AMI/UEI came first with 65.6% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; EAJ-PNV was second with 2. 72.4% of the 261 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AMI/UEI on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AMI/UEILocal lists 65.6% → 72.5% 5 → 6 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 25.9% → 22.4% 2 → 1 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 5.8% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 2.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 189 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.