Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Labastida/Bastida: PP would win a majority

Labastida/Bastida (Araba/Álava, 1,538 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 46.9%) Majority 70%
EAJ-PNV−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 29.5%) Majority 0%
EH BILDU±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.2% of the vote (2023: 19.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.9% → 49.9% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 29.5% → 26.0% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. EH BILDUEH Bildu 19.3% → 22.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 3.3% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 909 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Labastida/Bastida in size, in Araba/Álava

Every municipality in Araba/Álava → · All of Spain →