Erriberagoitia/Ribera Alta: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority
Erriberagoitia/Ribera Alta (Araba/Álava, 820 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 96%EAJ-PNV majority
- 439valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Erriberagoitia/Ribera Alta
Erriberagoitia/Ribera Alta is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 820 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 55.4% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 2. 64.2% of the 684 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EAJ-PNV on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 55.4% → 51.6% 5 → 5 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 24.4% → 29.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 8.4% → 8.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 9.6% → 7.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 439 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.