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Erriberabeitia: no list would have a majority, RBB largest

Erriberabeitia (Araba/Álava, 1,416 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

RBB±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.7% of the vote (2023: 36.8%) Majority 22%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 32.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Erriberabeitia

Erriberabeitia is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 1,416 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 RBB came first with 36.8% of the vote and 4 seats; EAJ-PNV was second with 3. 57.7% of the 1,084 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: RBB would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. RBBLocal lists 36.8% → 41.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 32.3% → 28.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 22.6% → 23.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 5.8% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 625 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Erriberabeitia in size, in Araba/Álava

Every municipality in Araba/Álava → · All of Spain →