Arraia-Maeztu: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority
Arraia-Maeztu (Araba/Álava, 804 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 66%EAJ-PNV majority
- 472valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EAJ-PNV±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 48.2% of the vote (2023: 53.2%)
Majority 66%
EH BILDU±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 43.0% of the vote (2023: 36.2%)
Majority 32%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 53.2% → 48.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 36.2% → 43.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 7.8% → 7.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 472 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.