Aramaio: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Aramaio (Araba/Álava, 1,431 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%EH BILDU majority
- 623valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aramaio
Aramaio is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 1,431 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 65% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; EAJ-PNV was second with 3. 54% of the 1,153 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 65.0% → 71.8% 6 → 7 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 28.7% → 24.2% 3 → 2 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 2.1% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.2% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 623 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.