Vícar: PSOE would keep its majority
Vícar (Almería, 27,631 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 64%PSOE majority
- 8,124valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Vícar
Vícar is a municipality in the province of Almería with 27,631 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 52.9% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 54.4% of the 14,936 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 64% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 52.9% → 48.5% 13 → 11 councillors
- PPPP 27.5% → 26.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 12.1% → 19.4% 2 → 4 councillors
- ALMERÍA VIVALocal lists 1.6% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- APVLocal lists 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,124 valid votes including 73 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.