Olula del Río: PP would keep its majority
Olula del Río (Almería, 6,259 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 74%PP majority
- 3,663valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Olula del Río
Olula del Río is a municipality in the province of Almería with 6,259 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 51.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 6. 76.1% of the 4,814 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 74% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 51.6% → 52.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 43.0% → 40.0% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 2.8% → 7.2% 0 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍA IZQUIERDA UNIDA CON OLULA DEL RÍOSumar, Podemos and allies 2.0% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,663 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.