Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Olula del Río: PP would keep its majority

Olula del Río (Almería, 6,259 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 52.1% of the vote (2023: 51.6%) Majority 74%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 43.0%) Majority 9%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 2.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.6% → 52.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 43.0% → 40.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.8% → 7.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍA IZQUIERDA UNIDA CON OLULA DEL RÍOSumar, Podemos and allies 2.0% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,663 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Olula del Río in size, in Almería

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