Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Huércal-Overa: PP would keep its majority

Huércal-Overa (Almería, 20,093 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 55.5% of the vote (2023: 56.4%) Majority 94%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 29.0% of the vote (2023: 32.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 5.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

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About Huércal-Overa

Huércal-Overa is a municipality in the province of Almería with 20,093 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 56.4% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 7. 69.5% of the 13,081 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 94% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.4% → 55.5% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 32.7% → 29.0% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.7% → 10.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. ALMERÍA AVANZALocal lists 3.8% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 0.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,097 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Huércal-Overa in size, in Almería

Every municipality in Almería → · All of Spain →