El Ejido: PP would keep its majority
El Ejido (Almería, 87,500 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 56%PP majority
- 24,734valid votes in 2023 (52% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Ejido
El Ejido is a municipality in the province of Almería with 87,500 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 47.2% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; VOX was second with 6. 51.6% of the 47,945 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 56% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.2% → 44.2% 14 → 13 councillors
- VOXVox 22.2% → 31.0% 6 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 16.3% → 12.7% 5 → 3 councillors
- ALMLocal lists 3.9% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- V.DEELEJIDOLocal lists 2.7% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- ALMERÍA AVANZALocal lists 1.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 24,734 valid votes including 316 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.