Dalías: PP would keep its majority
Dalías (Almería, 4,141 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%PP majority
- 2,105valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Dalías
Dalías is a municipality in the province of Almería with 4,141 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 55% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 66.7% of the 3,156 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 55.0% → 56.1% 7 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.5% → 20.9% 3 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 15.2% → 12.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 1.7% → 5.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.4% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,105 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.