Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Arboleas: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Arboleas (Almería, 4,532 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 42.9%) Majority 9%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 39.2%) Majority 8%
UCIN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 83% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 42.9% → 40.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 39.2% → 40.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. UCINLocal lists 17.5% → 19.0% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,393 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arboleas in size, in Almería

Every municipality in Almería → · All of Spain →