Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Berja: PP would keep its majority

Berja (Almería, 12,807 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
12 councillors (2023: 12) · 66.2% of the vote (2023: 68.1%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 23.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Berja

Berja is a municipality in the province of Almería with 12,807 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 68.1% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 62.4% of the 9,190 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 68.1% → 66.2% 12 → 12 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.2% → 19.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.3% → 12.8% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,735 valid votes including 76 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Berja in size, in Almería

Every municipality in Almería → · All of Spain →