Adra: PP would keep its majority
Adra (Almería, 25,300 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 64%PP majority
- 10,010valid votes in 2023 (56% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Adra
Adra is a municipality in the province of Almería with 25,300 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 51.7% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 6. 56.5% of the 17,723 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 64% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 51.7% → 49.4% 11 → 11 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 26.0% → 21.9% 6 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 11.3% → 17.7% 2 → 4 councillors
- PLATAFORMADRALocal lists 9.6% → 9.6% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,010 valid votes including 141 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.