Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Los Montesinos: PSOE would keep its majority

Los Montesinos (Alicante/Alacant, 5,217 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 64.6% of the vote (2023: 64.0%) Majority over 99%
PP+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.0% of the vote (2023: 27.5%) Majority 0%
EUPV - PODEM: UNIDAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.9% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Los Montesinos

Los Montesinos is a municipality in the province of Alicante/Alacant with 5,217 inhabitants, the 58th largest of its 141 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 64% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 66% of the 3,004 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 64.0% → 64.6% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.5% → 29.0% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. EUPV - PODEM: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.9% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,983 valid votes including 30 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Montesinos in size, in Alicante/Alacant

Every municipality in Alicante/Alacant → · All of Spain →