Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ibi: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Ibi (Alicante/Alacant, 23,677 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
10 councillors (2023: 9) · 38.6% of the vote (2023: 37.7%) Majority 18%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 26.4%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 82% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ibi

Ibi is a municipality in the province of Alicante/Alacant with 23,677 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 141 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 37.7% of the vote and 9 seats; PSOE was second with 7. 65.4% of the 18,540 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 10 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.7% → 38.6% 9 → 10 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 26.4% → 24.1% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 17.5% → 14.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.5% → 11.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 4.4% → 4.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CONTIGOLocal lists 2.2% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. ADINLocal lists 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. P.C.P.E.Local lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PODEM-EUPV:UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,118 valid votes including 234 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ibi in size, in Alicante/Alacant

Every municipality in Alicante/Alacant → · All of Spain →