Guardamar del Segura: PSOE would keep its majority
Guardamar del Segura (Alicante/Alacant, 16,138 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 58%PSOE majority
- 6,664valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
9
councillors (2023: 9) · 48.7% of the vote (2023: 51.9%)
Majority 58%
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 35.9%)
Majority 6%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 5.6%)
Majority 0%
EUPV: ENDAVANT−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.3% of the vote (2023: 5.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 51.9% → 48.7% 9 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 35.9% → 35.9% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 5.6% → 11.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- EUPV: ENDAVANTSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.3% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,664 valid votes including 67 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.