La Nucia: PP would keep its majority
La Nucia (Alicante/Alacant, 18,624 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 7,100valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Nucia
La Nucia is a municipality in the province of Alicante/Alacant with 18,624 inhabitants, the 28th largest of its 141 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 64.1% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; AXLN- PODEM was second with 2. 57.7% of the 12,309 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 64.1% → 62.0% 12 → 12 councillors
- AXLN- PODEMLocal lists 13.2% → 13.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 6.4% → 11.5% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.2% → 10.0% 2 → 1 councillors
- CENTRO MODERADOLocal lists 1.6% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- ALIANZA C VLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,100 valid votes including 77 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.