Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Campello: no list would have a majority, PP largest

El Campello (Alicante/Alacant, 29,409 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 31.6% of the vote (2023: 32.0%) Majority 2%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.2% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
XEC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%
EUPV - PODEM - AV: UNIDAS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.9% of the vote (2023: 8.5%) Majority 0%
CS+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 4.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Campello

El Campello is a municipality in the province of Alicante/Alacant with 29,409 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 141 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 32% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 60.5% of the 20,901 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 32.0% → 31.6% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 11.8% → 19.2% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 17.6% → 14.8% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. XECLocal lists 10.6% → 11.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 11.0% → 8.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. EUPV - PODEM - AV: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 8.5% → 5.9% 2 → 1 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 4.8% → 5.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  8. EVFPLocal lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,647 valid votes including 247 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Campello in size, in Alicante/Alacant

Every municipality in Alicante/Alacant → · All of Spain →