Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Aspe: no list would have a majority, EUPV:ADELANTE largest

Aspe (Alicante/Alacant, 21,191 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EUPV:ADELANTE−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 43.9%) Majority 7%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 26.5% of the vote (2023: 26.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Aspe

Aspe is a municipality in the province of Alicante/Alacant with 21,191 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 141 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EUPV:ADELANTE came first with 43.9% of the vote and 10 seats; PP was second with 6. 69.6% of the 16,092 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EUPV:ADELANTE would be largest on 9 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EUPV:ADELANTESumar, Podemos and allies 43.9% → 39.2% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.3% → 26.5% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.7% → 14.1% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 15.1% → 12.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 6.1% → 6.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,195 valid votes including 99 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aspe in size, in Alicante/Alacant

Every municipality in Alicante/Alacant → · All of Spain →