Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Casas de Lázaro: AICL would keep its majority

Casas de Lázaro (Albacete, 321 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AICL+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 72.2% of the vote (2023: 68.6%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.3% of the vote (2023: 12.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Casas de Lázaro

Casas de Lázaro is a municipality in the province of Albacete with 321 inhabitants, the 73rd largest of its 87 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 AICL came first with 68.6% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 1. 87.5% of the 320 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps AICL on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AICLLocal lists 68.6% → 72.2% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 17.5% → 14.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 12.1% → 11.3% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 280 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Casas de Lázaro in size, in Albacete

Every municipality in Albacete → · All of Spain →