Val do Dubra: PP would win a majority
Val do Dubra (A Coruña, 3,783 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 68%PP majority
- 2,448valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Val do Dubra
Val do Dubra is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 3,783 inhabitants, the 62nd largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 47% of the vote and 5 seats; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 3. 74.8% of the 3,274 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.0% → 50.3% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 27.0% → 25.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- AINASumar, Podemos and allies 24.3% → 21.9% 3 → 2 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 0.7% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PGLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,448 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.