Dumbría: PSOE would keep its majority
Dumbría (A Coruña, 2,909 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 95%PSOE majority
- 1,857valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Dumbría
Dumbría is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 2,909 inhabitants, the 72nd largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 64.1% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 72.6% of the 2,557 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 64.1% → 57.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 17.4% → 26.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 17.8% → 16.2% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,857 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.