Arzúa: no list would have a majority, B.N.G. largest
Arzúa (A Coruña, 5,918 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 3,484valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arzúa
Arzúa is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 5,918 inhabitants, the 41st largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 39.2% of the vote and 6 seats; B.N.G. was second with 3. 69.5% of the 5,010 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: B.N.G. would be largest on 5 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 24.9% → 34.7% 3 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 39.2% → 34.5% 6 → 4 councillors
- A.ALocal lists 23.7% → 22.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 11.2% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,484 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.