Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Arzúa: no list would have a majority, B.N.G. largest

Arzúa (A Coruña, 5,918 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

B.N.G.+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 24.9%) Majority 1%
PP−2
4 councillors (2023: 6) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 39.2%) Majority 1%
A.A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.2% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 11.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. B.N.G.BNG 24.9% → 34.7% 3 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 39.2% → 34.5% 6 → 4 councillors
  3. A.ALocal lists 23.7% → 22.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 11.2% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,484 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arzúa in size, in A Coruña

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