Germany Bundestag electionby 25 Mar 2029in 874 days CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens 97% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Tümlauer Koog: AfD would now come first, ahead of CDU/CSU

Tümlauer Koog (Schleswig-Holstein) has 84 voters. Below: how it voted at the federal election of February 2025, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. Municipal elections are set by each Land, on different dates.

Today's polls here, against the federal election of February 2025

  1. AfD 22.2% → 28.0%
  2. CDU/CSU 27.8% → 19.3%
  3. FDP 16.7% → 15.4%
  4. Linke 13.0% → 14.8%
  5. Greens 7.4% → 9.9%
  6. SPD 3.7% → 2.9%
  7. BSW 1.9% → 1.1%
  8. Others 7.4% → 8.6%

Pale bar: the federal election of February 2025; solid: today's national polls carried down to Tümlauer Koog (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every Gemeinde adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Germany forecast →

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every Gemeinde

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 10,648 Gemeinden with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

1 more party

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Tümlauer Koog

Tümlauer Koog has 84 voters, the 1054th largest of 1,072 in Schleswig-Holstein and 10546th of 10,648 across Germany.

At the federal election of February 2025 it voted CDU/CSU 27.8%, AfD 22.2%, FDP 16.7%. SPD did 13 points worse here than across Germany.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has AfD on 28% and CDU/CSU on 19.3%.

Gemeinden of a similar size in Schleswig-Holstein

Every Gemeinde in Schleswig-Holstein → · All of Germany →

Die Bundeswahlleiterin, Wiesbaden 2025 (dl-de/by-2-0): Bundestag election of 23 February 2025, second votes by polling district, summed by Gemeinde. Postal votes counted for a group of Gemeinden appear under the Gemeinde that counted them.