Germany Bundestag electionby 25 Mar 2029in 874 days CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens 97% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Germany
EN DE
Closest
Germany · Every Gemeinde · Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Obere Warnow: AfD would still come first on today's polls

Obere Warnow (Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) has 633 voters. Below: how it voted at the federal election of February 2025, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. Municipal elections are set by each Land, on different dates.

Today's polls here, against the federal election of February 2025

  1. AfD 44.2% → 51.9%
  2. SPD 14.9% → 11.7%
  3. Linke 9.2% → 10.6%
  4. CDU/CSU 15.1% → 10.4%
  5. BSW 8.9% → 5.9%
  6. Greens 2.5% → 4.3%
  7. FDP 3.0% → 2.6%
  8. Others 2.2% → 2.6%

Pale bar: the federal election of February 2025; solid: today's national polls carried down to Obere Warnow (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every Gemeinde adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Germany forecast →

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every Gemeinde

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 10,648 Gemeinden with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

1 more party

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Obere Warnow

Obere Warnow has 633 voters, the 316th largest of 724 in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and 7602nd of 10,648 across Germany.

At the federal election of February 2025 it voted AfD 44.2%, CDU/CSU 15.1%, SPD 14.9%. AfD did 23 points better here than across Germany.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has AfD on 51.9% and SPD on 11.7%.

Gemeinden of a similar size in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Every Gemeinde in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern → · All of Germany →

Die Bundeswahlleiterin, Wiesbaden 2025 (dl-de/by-2-0): Bundestag election of 23 February 2025, second votes by polling district, summed by Gemeinde. Postal votes counted for a group of Gemeinden appear under the Gemeinde that counted them.