Germany Bundestag electionby 25 Mar 2029in 874 days CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens 97% Calendar Track record Research
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Hamburg, Freie und Hansestadt, Bezirk Harburg: AfD would now come first, ahead of SPD

Hamburg, Freie und Hansestadt, Bezirk Harburg (Hamburg) has 102,159 voters. Below: how it voted at the federal election of February 2025, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. Municipal elections are set by each Land, on different dates.

Today's polls here, against the federal election of February 2025

  1. AfD 17.4% → 23.1%
  2. SPD 23.6% → 19.7%
  3. Greens 13.1% → 16.6%
  4. Linke 13.6% → 15.8%
  5. CDU/CSU 20.0% → 14.1%
  6. BSW 5.2% → 3.2%
  7. FDP 3.4% → 3.1%
  8. Others 3.7% → 4.4%

Pale bar: the federal election of February 2025; solid: today's national polls carried down to Hamburg, Freie und Hansestadt, Bezirk Harburg (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every Gemeinde adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Germany forecast →

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About Hamburg, Freie und Hansestadt, Bezirk Harburg

Hamburg, Freie und Hansestadt, Bezirk Harburg has 102,159 voters, the 6th largest of 7 in Hamburg and 69th of 10,648 across Germany.

At the federal election of February 2025 it voted SPD 23.6%, CDU/CSU 20%, AfD 17.4%. CDU/CSU did 9 points worse here than across Germany.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has AfD on 23.1% and SPD on 19.7%.

Gemeinden of a similar size in Hamburg

Every Gemeinde in Hamburg → · All of Germany →

Die Bundeswahlleiterin, Wiesbaden 2025 (dl-de/by-2-0): Bundestag election of 23 February 2025, second votes by polling district, summed by Gemeinde. Postal votes counted for a group of Gemeinden appear under the Gemeinde that counted them.