Polls · Next federal election
Nanos Research, 23 October 2026
Nanos Research has Liberal ahead of Conservative by 19.5 points, 47.3% to 27.8%. Since its previous poll (16 October 2026): Liberal −3.3 (50.6 → 47.3), NDP +1.4 (11.5 → 12.9), Bloc +1.3 (6.2 → 7.5).
| Fieldwork | 26 September 2026 – 23 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 27 October 2026 |
| Sample | 1,019 |
| Method | telephone (live interviewer) |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Nanos weekly tracking (four-week rolling sample: start = end - 27 days), read from the PDF text
Decided and leaning voters, as published. We rescale the parties to 100 before averaging.
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
Liberal |
47.3 |
Conservative |
27.8 |
NDP |
12.9 |
Bloc |
7.5 |
PPC |
2.3 |
Green |
2 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 3 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Conservative 27.8% against 31%; Liberal 47.3% against 45%.





