Canada General election15 Oct 2029in 1,079 days Liberal majority over 99% No majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Nanos Research, 23 October 2026

Nanos Research has Liberal ahead of Conservative by 19.5 points, 47.3% to 27.8%. Since its previous poll (16 October 2026): Liberal −3.3 (50.6 → 47.3), NDP +1.4 (11.5 → 12.9), Bloc +1.3 (6.2 → 7.5).

Fieldwork26 September 2026 – 23 October 2026
Published27 October 2026
Sample1,019
Methodtelephone (live interviewer)
Release release
In our averageYes: it is this pollster's latest

Nanos weekly tracking (four-week rolling sample: start = end - 27 days), read from the PDF text

Decided and leaning voters, as published. We rescale the parties to 100 before averaging.

Main

%
Mark CarneyLiberal 47.3
Pierre PoilievreConservative 27.8
Avi LewisNDP 12.9
Yves-François BlanchetBloc 7.5
Maxime BernierPPC 2.3
Elizabeth MayGreen 2

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 3 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Conservative 27.8% against 31%; Liberal 47.3% against 45%.

Nanos Research's previous poll, 16 October 2026 →

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