Polls · Next federal election
Essential Research, 26 October 2026
Essential Research has Labor and One Nation level on 28%. Since its previous poll (28 September 2026): One Nation +3 (25 → 28), Labor −1 (29 → 28), Coalition +1 (22 → 23).
| Fieldwork | 21 October 2026 – 26 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 28 October 2026 |
| Sample | 1,003 |
| Method | Online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Read from Essential Report's Primary+/2PP+ charts (Flourish data) by the site's poll check; undecided counted in OTH on the primary vote
Primary votes as published. For our average we fold independents and minor parties into others, leave out any undecided and rescale to 100; on 2025 preference flows these primaries give Labor 50.7% of the two-party-preferred.
Primary vote
| % | |
|---|---|
 Labor |
28 |
 One Nation |
28 |
 Coalition |
23 |
 Greens |
12 |
| Others | 10 |
2PP: ALP v Coalition
| % | |
|---|---|
| Coalition |
52 |
| Labor |
44 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 3 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Labor 28% against 26%; Greens 12% against 14%.