Polls · Montana's 1st district
Public Policy Polling , 14 October 2026
Public Policy Polling has Sam Forstag ahead of Aaron Flint by 3 points in Montana's 1st district, 48% to 45%. Since its previous poll (10 September 2026): Sam Forstag +3 (45 → 48), Aaron Flint +2 (43 → 45).
| Race | Montana's 1st district |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 12 October 2026 – 14 October 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | 541 (likely voters) |
| Paid for by | House Majority PAC |
| Pollster's lean | Mostly works for Democrats |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
Main
 Sam Forstag D |
48 | |
| Aaron Flint R | 45 | |
| Undecided | 7 |
Margin on the decided vote: D+3.2; after our adjustments R+2.3, which includes a move of 1.8 points to the Republicans with the national trend since the poll (↻).
Against the other polls
Public Policy Polling's previous poll of this race, 10 September 2026 →
Photo credits
- Sam Forstag: Photo: Conorhogan16, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sam_Forstag_Portrait_(cropped).jpg)