Polls · Iowa Senate
co/efficient , 19 October 2026
co/efficient has Ashley Hinson ahead of Josh Turek by 3 points in Iowa Senate, 48% to 45%. Since its previous poll (16 September 2026): Josh Turek +3 (42 → 45), Ashley Hinson +2 (46 → 48).
| Race | Iowa Senate |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 15 October 2026 – 19 October 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | 863 (likely voters) |
| Pollster's lean | Mostly works for Republicans |
| Method | mobile text responses, landline interviews, and live landline interviews |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
co/efficient Senate Battlegrounds page, full toplines
Main
 Ashley Hinson R |
48 | |
 Josh Turek D |
45 | |
| Undecided | 6 | |
| Other | 2 |
Margin on the decided vote: R+3.2; after our adjustments D+0.5, which includes a move of 0.5 points to the Republicans with the national trend since the poll (↻).
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 6 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Ashley Hinson 48% against 46%.
co/efficient's previous poll of this race, 16 September 2026 →
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ashley Hinson.
- Josh Turek: Photo: Iowa General Assembly, Free use (Iowa General Assembly), via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Joshua_Turek_(cropped).jpg)