Polls · Iowa Senate
Trafalgar Group , 15 October 2026
Trafalgar Group has Ashley Hinson ahead of Josh Turek by 2 points in Iowa Senate, 46% to 44%. Since its previous poll (18 September 2026): Ashley Hinson +2 (44 → 46), Josh Turek +2 (42 → 44).
| Race | Iowa Senate |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 13 October 2026 – 15 October 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | 1,094 (likely voters) |
| Pollster's lean | Mostly works for Republicans |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
Main
 Ashley Hinson R |
46 | |
 Josh Turek D |
44 | |
| Undecided | 6 | |
| Other | 4 |
Margin on the decided vote: R+2.1; after our adjustments D+2.6, which includes a move of 0.7 points to the Republicans with the national trend since the poll (↻).
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 6 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Josh Turek 44% against 45.5%.
Trafalgar Group's previous poll of this race, 18 September 2026 →
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ashley Hinson.
- Josh Turek: Photo: Iowa General Assembly, Free use (Iowa General Assembly), via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Joshua_Turek_(cropped).jpg)