How well do you know the polls in Poland?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 100 for 4 November 2026.
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1In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Right-wing majority”?
91%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2Who leads the polls in Poland?
KO on 33.2% in our average, ahead of PiS on 22.5%. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls furthest out?
2005: 4.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2023 election?
PiS with 35.4%, ahead of KO on 30.7%. See the page
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5How many seats does our forecast give KO in the Sejm in Poland?
191 in our projection, 40 short of a majority. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
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7In Poland, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
PiS: up 0.8 points, now 22.5%. See the page
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8At Poland's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PiS: 36.8% in the final polls, 35.4% on the day. See the page
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9At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 12 final polls. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls closest to the result?
2015: 0.5 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.