How well do you know the polls in Italy?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 27 for 3 November 2026.
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1Which party has lost most support since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?
Lega: 8.8% then, 5.7% in our average now (−3.1 points). See the page
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2Which party has gained most in the polls since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?
AVS: 3.6% then, 6.3% in our average now (+2.6 points). See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2013 election?
M5S with 25.6%, ahead of PD on 25.4%. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls furthest out?
2013: 5.6 points out per party on average. See the page
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5In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority in both chambers”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lega: 12.0% in the final polls, 8.8% on the day. See the page
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7Who leads the polls in Italy?
FdI on 27.7% in our average, ahead of PD on 20.3%. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give Centre-right in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?
143 in our projection. See the page
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9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2018 election?
32.7%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2022 election?
FdI with 26.0%, ahead of PD on 19.0%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.