How well do you know the polls in Italy?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 24 for 3 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2018 election?
32.7%. See the page
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2Who leads the polls in Italy?
FdI on 27.7% in our average, ahead of PD on 20.3%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2022 election?
FdI with 26.0%, ahead of PD on 19.0%. See the page
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4At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
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5At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lega: 12.0% in the final polls, 8.8% on the day. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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7In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority in both chambers”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2013 election?
25.6%. See the page
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9How many seats does our forecast give Centre-right in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?
143 in our projection. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls furthest out?
2013: 5.6 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.